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Commentary

Democrats Took Congress. What It Actually Means for Your Guns.

What This One's About

Last night was a blue wave and I'm not going to sugarcoat it. Democrats took the House. They took the Senate, at least 54 seats, by flipping Texas, Ohio, Maine, North Carolina, South Carolina, Iowa, and Kansas, which just sent its first Democrat to the Senate since 1932. The NRA says our rights are under "direct and immediate threat."

Half my feed is celebrating. The other half says the Second Amendment is finished. I don't think either is right. I spent the whole day going through results state by state to figure out what actually changes for you and your guns, and some of it's worse than the people celebrating understand, and some of it's better than the doom crowd is telling you.

The single most important date for gun owners isn't last night. It's four weeks from now, and almost nobody's talking about it.

SUPPORT THE FIGHT

/Chapters(29)

Each timestamp opens the video at that point on YouTube.

  1. 0:00Last night was a blue wave, and I'm not going to sugarcoat it
  2. 0:2738% approval, and the NRA says "direct and immediate threat"
  3. 0:44Half my feed is celebrating. Half says the 2A is finished. Both are wrong.
  4. 1:04The most important date for gun owners isn't last night
  5. 1:38Washington: where everybody's panicking (and where I'm least worried)
  6. 1:51The math: 54 seats, 60 to break a filibuster, and a veto pen
  7. 2:37Jeffries' first 100 days: guns aren't on the public list
  8. 2:58They didn't run against your guns. They ran as gun owners.
  9. 3:28Don't mistake the ads for what they believe: Talarico and Brown
  10. 4:03Follow the money: Bloomberg's $100 million
  11. 4:51I've watched this movie before: Virginia 2019, Obama 2008, Biden 2020
  12. 5:26The bills are already written: $4,709 per suppressor
  13. 5:41What a Democratic Congress CAN do, 1: Judges
  14. 6:35Four and a half work weeks. Call your senator about one thing.
  15. 6:512: Hearings, and a crack in the ATF firewall
  16. 7:483: Annie Andrews, Everytown's senator
  17. 8:37Every one of those bills is a dress rehearsal for 2028
  18. 8:58Where it gets real: the state capitals
  19. 9:12Pennsylvania: a trifecta, and the bills are already written
  20. 10:17Virginia: what a trifecta does in its first year
  21. 10:46Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota, Georgia, North Carolina, Massachusetts
  22. 11:16PA, WI, MI, MN: buy it now. That's not panic. That's planning.
  23. 11:52Some good news: Arkansas Issue 2
  24. 12:35Florida: fine for now, and closer than it should be
  25. 13:03Brandon Herrera didn't lose on guns
  26. 13:36December 2: the Supreme Court and the AR-15
  27. 14:46Why the judge blockade matters so much
  28. 15:06Where I land
  29. 15:54Support the fight, and tell me your state

/Sources & Receipts(38)

Everything cited in the video, so you can read it yourself instead of taking my word for it.

The results

What they can't do

They changed their ads, not their minds

What they can do

The states

The good news

December 2

Where I'm Coming From

results were as of Wednesday, Nov. 4, Alaska, Mississippi, and dozens of House races were still being counted, so seat totals can move. "My read" is labeled as my read every time it comes up: that the judge pipeline is the real federal loss, that Pennsylvania passes registration and red flag in its first session, that Herrera lost on Paxton and the border rather than guns, and that the Court protects the AR-15 after Wolford. The Uvalde County margin is from early returns. Nothing here is legal advice.

/Watch Next

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The NFA Registry Died, and the DOJ Did Nothing▶ Watch

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GET SQUARED AWAY.

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